Stock Markets forecast
Are there any signs of the coming future for stock markets in 2022?
I’ve already written about the S&P 500
This time ill focus on the Nasdaq – Since a lot of money in the IPO and private raising market is directed in favor of technology stocks, Employee issues, chip shortages, salary levels, and bonus packages, It is worth examining what is being done
There are many similarities in trading patterns to past moves, who’ve started this way and ended differently
Let’s try to see where we stand now?
Positively for markets
Raising interest rates, which is the standard tool for fighting central bank inflation, risks weakening a fragile economy that is still riddled with uncertainty – so it may not be certain that the measures will be so bold and fast – there is a lack of clarity
Add to that companies on the U.S. stock market that have shed fat, and are beginning to converge on a model of decent value, and some might even say investment opportunities
On the other hand to the negative side
There are a considerable number of risks, from an epidemic that is still ongoing
Potential military conflict between Russia and Ukraine
Supply problems in the global supply chain, and rising inflation.
Transport and distribution costs are high
The cost of shipping a standard container from China to the U.S. West Coast remains more than three times what it was a year ago
Energy costs – The price increases of the energy sector are important because they affect almost all sectors as a critical input
Looking forward, the path of current and future Covid-19 variants is still unknown, which could weigh on supply chains
Supply chain snags continued to drive up the price
Strong consumer demand continues to drive up the cost of shipping and energy.
Fed’s interest rate hike and reducing purchases
The Federal Reserve said he will raise interest rates in March and re-approved plans to end its bond purchases
now let’s move to charts
on the negative side -as long the Nasdaq trade below 15,400 points (15,130-15,440) – the scenario could lead to more downtrends
If we are talking about a long-term bear scenario see the previous case
on the positive side, we can similarly on the previous case – but I want to see closed levels above what I mention – yet We have not received confirmation for this from the oscillators
This review does not include any document and/or file attached to it as advice or recommendation to buy/sell securities and/or other advice