Silver Market Overview ā October 28, 2025
Current Price: $45.80
š Change: -0.90 (-1.91%)
Institutional Positioning (COT)
CFTC Disaggregated COT Report ā Silver (as of Sept 23, 2025)
| Group | Long | Short | Weekly Net Change | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Managed Money | 51,225 | 14,126 | ā¼ -1,327 longs | ā Still Bullish |
| Swap Dealers | 25,785 | 69,717 | ā¼ Net Short | š» Hedging |
| Other Reportables | 21,093 | 5,916 | ā² +729 longs | ā Bullish |
Total OI: 165,805 contracts
Key takeaway: Strong bullish bias remains from institutional players, but signs of some light profit-taking from managed money last week.
š Options Sentiment
š¹ SOF6 (December Expiry ā 56 DTE)
- Put/Call OI Ratio: 0.82 ā Moderately bullish skew
- OI Clusters:
- $44.00 strike ā Over 800 contracts open ā Key support zone
- $48ā$50 zone ā Light resistance from call side OI buildup
š¹ SOZ5 (November Expiry ā 27 DTE)
- Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.45 ā Short-term bullish skew (buyers favoring calls)
- Max Pain Zone: ~$44ā45
- Current price near OI pivot ā lots of gamma-related volatility expected around these levels.
š Technical Analysis (Chart-Based)
š Observations from Chart:
- Multi-MA Ribbon Structure
- The price has clearly broken below the medium-term moving average cluster, including the red/gold/purple bands.
- Testing the long-term trend support zone, marked by the blue and cyan bands
- Support Test in Progress
- Horizontal support around $44.10ā$45.00 aligns with the long-term moving average and options OI cluster.
- Momentum appears heavy, and the next key support level could be around $43.20 or even $41.80, if selling pressure continues.
- Bearish Momentum Picking Up
- Aggressive volume selling is evident in recent bars.
- If price breaks below $44.10 with volume, further downside toward $42 is likely.
Summary: Full Market Picture
| Component | Bias | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| COT (Institutions) | ā Bullish | Still net long, light profit-taking |
| Options OI | š¢ Moderately Bullish | $44.00 = strong gamma support |
| Technical Chart | ā ļø Short-term Bearish | Testing critical long-term support |
| Price Action | ā Heavy selling | Near-term pressure, bounce or breakdown zone |
Trade Outlook
| Trader Type | Market Action | Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Swing Trader | Support Test | Wait for confirmation of hold/reversal |
| Trend Follower | Still Uptrend Long | Accumulate at blue-band / $44.10 zone |
| Short-Term Bear | Momentum Favorable | Target $43.20 / $41.80 with tight stops |
| Options Trader | High Gamma Zone | Consider volatility plays or spreads |
š Key Levels to Watch
Bullish Invalidation: Break below $43.00 on strong volume
Immediate Support: $44.70 (technical + OI cluster)
Breakdown Target: $43.20 / $41.80
Resistance to Reclaim: $47.50 / $49.00
