prediction for the next years
On March 10, 2021, I wrote this post: “A lot of people are talking about the length of time that markets rising, and it is not possible that so many years we are in a rising market trend .to all those who say this, I can say that from 1974 to 2000 there was a rising market trend -26 years. Let’s test our case by time – 12 years have passed since 2009 the markets rising- it is not close to 26 years record but what is more Interesting is the distance from the equilibrium point and long-term average bands – you can clearly see that we are not at the top or bottom the glass ceiling is currently in the range of 5900-6200 points this means in life everything has to be taken in proportion…..”
This time i will not focus on the technical side, in the next post I will give technical points
The Hebrew calendar is characterized, among other things, by cycles of days, weeks, years, etc.It was also determined that every 7 years there is a shemita year :
People of Israel are commanded to observe the mitzvah of shemitah – to return a large part of the crafts in agricultural fields in the Land of Israel and to abandon the fruits to anyone who is interested in picking them.
The shmita year this year began on Sunday, Tishrei (7/9/2021) and will end on the 29th of Elul (25.10.2021), The current shemita year is also a leap year
Both a shemita year and a leap year happen about once every 19 years
Some believe that these moves are also affected on markets, and its occurs at the end of shemita year, Which means we might have to anticipate some sort of occurrence at the end of this shemita yearI wonder what will happen this year 2021-2022 Shemita Year ???
Let’s take a look at some examples of stock market crashes during the shemita years
1901-1902 shemita Year – 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out.
1916-1917 shemita Year – 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. Britain, the world’s greatest empire was almost bankrupt. The beginning of American to rise to world power. All during this one Shemita year.
1930-1931 shemita Year – 86% U.S stock market value wiped out in the worst financial crisis in modern history.
1937-1938 shemita Year – 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Global recession.
1965-1966 shemita Year – 23% stock market value wiped out.
1972-1973 shemita Year – 48% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Global recession. U.S. Voted to kill its unborn children (Abortion legalized). U.S. lost its first war – Vietnam…
1979-1980 shemita Year – U.S. and global recession.
1986-1987 shemita Year – 33% U.S. Stock market value wiped out.
1993-1994 shemita Year – Bond market crash.
2000-2001 shemita Year – 37% U.S. stock market value wiped out. 9/11 and Global recession.
2007-2008 shemita Year – 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Global recession.
2014-2015 shemita Year – stock market selloff was the period of decline in the value of stock prices globally that occurred in August 2015 +- 15% decline , the SSE Composite Index fell 43% in just over 2 months between June 2015 and August 2015
Those with a keen eye will surely be able to notice that in the late 1940s and in 1952 1959 there was no significant event mentioned, I went to investigate this: generation scarred by the market crash of 1929 and the Great Depression of the 1930s, most people in the 1950s stayed away from stocks, add to this the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, which prohibited commercial banks from doing business on Wall Street, mixed of those recipe leads for minor to zero activity at the stock market. Ultimately you have to decide things for yourself, especially when the information available is partial and subjective, and not enough to constitute clear proof.
I think there is enough information here to work with and get another angle and different look at other things, The seven-year pattern is an essay worth exploring
2022 ??? more to come
This review does not include any document and/or file attached to it as advice or recommendation to buy/sell securities and/or other advice